The Difficulty With Short-Term Forex Trading Strategies

Shorter Time Frames Provide Less Reliable Signals

Technical analysis patterns and indicators appear more frequently on shorter time frames but they have less reliability than longer time frames, where support and resistance levels become more established and take on greater significance.

Furthermore, as you drill down in time frames, the charts become more polluted by false moves and market noise. Market noise refers to random price movements due to minor market fluctuations and can lead to false signals and misleading trends. Day traders are more affected as they might trade off hourly charts or even shorter time frames. Ideally, Forex traders should use a longer time frame to define the primary trend of whatever they are trading.

Impact Of Bid-Offer Spreads

The very nature of short-term Forex trading is the execution of multiple trades over short periods, typically less than a day. Unlike other markets, in the Forex market the cost to trade is typically built into the spread, and the wider the spread the more it eats into profits on entry and exit into trades where a successful trade may only be a 10 pip profit.

As scalpers and day traders rely on small price movements to enter and exit trades, the profit per trade is highly impacted by spreads. In volatile markets, slippage, where take-profit and stop-loss orders are filled at a worst than expected price, can also further reduce potential profits.

Leverage Risk

Scalpers and day traders typically use higher leverage to boost profits from small price movements. While leverage can increase profits it also magnifies potential losses. For example, a trader leveraging 50x to open up a $250,000 USD/JPY trade is now fully exposed to this large position, likely dwarfing the trader’s actual capital account balance. Nothing short of a very tight stop-loss is acceptable when using leverage.

Understanding leverage and managing the associated risks has complexity and for some traders this is is difficult to grasp. Without a tight stop-loss and disciplined money management to only trade 1% to 2% of your trading capital account, then short term strategies can cause significant losses. A tight stop-loss may be as little as ten pips from the current spot price.

Over-Trading Risk

Short-term FX traders are at risk of over trading due to the inherent nature of trading in a system that requires multiple small trades every day to be profitable.

The high frequency of trading opportunities when trying to capitalize on small price movements within a short time frame is a particular problem as it can tempt traders to execute more trades than necessary.

The pressure to meet daily or weekly profit targets is an over-trading risk factor, especially if a trader is behind on their targets. The pressure to make budget can lead to poor decision making and taking on trades with a lower chance of success.

A Reliance On Sophisticated Tools And Techniques

To be successful as a short term trader requires access to advanced trading tools and up to date technology which can be expensive with both start up and ongoing costs. It includes:

• High-speed internet connectivity
• A high-specification computer with upgraded graphics card and memory to reduce lag
• Advanced charting and analysis software
• Direct market access via a Forex broker

The need to develop or understand complex trading strategies is also essential for a successful short-term trader. These can be difficult to master especially those based on advanced technical analysis, algorithmic trading or high-frequency trading tactics.

Psychological Stress And Emotional Discipline

Short-term Forex trading requires constant monitoring of the markets and quick decision making. It can be tiring mentally as traders must stay focused for long periods. The need to perform well on a daily basis can lead to burnout or trading decisions driven by emotions like greed and fear which can override rational analysis and decision making.

Furthermore, pressure to rapidly recover from losses can also lead to revenge trading, where traders take poorly calculated risks to recoup the fall in capital on their trading account.